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10/28/05 - CNN PRESENTS "DEAD WRONG"
CNN PRESENTS: "Dead Wrong"
Submitted by jonschwarz on Mon, 2005-08-22 06:57. Media
CNN PRESENTS 8:00 PM EST
Sunday, August 21, 2005
http://www.afterdowningstreet.org/?q=node/1998
DAVID ENSOR, CNN CORRESPONDENT (voice-over): It was the central
pillar in the argument for preemptive war.
RICHARD CHENEY, U.S. VICE PRESIDENT: Simply stated, there is no
doubt that Saddam Hussein now has weapons of mass destruction.
ENSOR: The United States put its credibility on the line.
COLIN POWELL, FORMER U.S. SECRETARY OF STATE: What we're giving
you are facts and conclusions based on solid intelligence.
ENSOR: But much of that intelligence turned out to be wrong.
UNIDENTIFIED MALE: It was the lowest point in my life. I wish I
had not been involved.
ENSOR: Tonight, an inside look at what went wrong and why.
UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Who is to blame? No question, it's the
intelligence community. We did it to ourselves.
UNIDENTIFIED MALE: The problem is the White House didn't go to
the CIA and say, tell me the truth, it said give me ammunition.
UNIDENTIFIED MALE: We can't afford to be wrong a second time.
How many people in the world are going to believe us when we say
it's a slam dunk, Iran has nuclear weapons?
ENSOR (on camera): "Dead wrong." That's how the commission
appointed by President Bush describes U.S. intelligence in the
lead up to the Iraq War. Welcome to CNN PRESENTS. I'm David
Ensor.
Despite public warnings before the war, no weapons of mass
destruction have been found. But the commission's searing report
left unanswered a critical question. Should anyone be held
accountable?
Tonight, we go behind the scenes in search of answer and for the
first time we hear from key players, on camera and on the
record, who were there when some of the mistakes were made.
(voice-over): In early 2001, George W. Bush, urged by his
father, who had been a director of central intelligence, keeps
George Tenet in charge of the CIA. The new president is
applauded for putting the agency above politics. And Tenet, who
was appointed by Bill Clinton, becomes the first CIA director in
more than three decades to survive a change of party in the
White House.
But theirs will be a fateful relationship. The president will
take the country to war, a decision he will justify using
intelligence produced by Tenet's CIA.
In 2005, as the Iraq War entered its third year, the top U.S.
weapons hunter ended his search. Case closed. No weapons of mass
destruction have been found.
The harm done to American credibility by our all too public
intelligence failings in Iraq, reports the commission appointed
by the president to investigate the failures, will take years to
undo.
GEORGE W. BUSH, U.S. PRESIDENT: To win the war on terror, we
will correct what needs to be fixed.
ENSOR: The commission found no sign that the evidence had been
shaped by political pressure, it was simply wrong.
BUSH: The central conclusion is one that I share, America's
intelligence community needs fundamental change.
ENSOR: But like earlier congressional investigations, the
president's commission looked only at the intelligence, not how
the commander-in-chief and his top aides used it to make the
case for war.
DAVID GREGORY, NBC CORRESPONDENT: Did this commission not ask
the tough questions? Did they not challenge some of these
assumptions? And doesn't ultimate responsibility rest with the
president of the United States?
JUDGE LAURENCE SILBERMAN, COMMISSIONER: We had discussions with
the president. We didn't interview the president, nor did we
interview the vice president.
ENSOR: So what may be the last official review of how the
mistakes were made gives policymakers a pass.
SILBERMAN: Our job was to look at the intelligence that came
from the intelligence community.
ENSOR: The commission's 600 page report directs most of its fire
at the Central Intelligence Agency, starting at the top.
UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Mr. Tenet, would you stand and raise your
right hand.
ENSOR: When he was named director of central intelligence in
1997, George Tenet was the fifth DCI in six years. He promised
to tell truth to power.
GEORGE TENET, FORMER DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE: To the
president and all those who rely on our nation's intelligence
capabilities, I will deliver intelligence that is clear and
objective and does not pull punches. To the Congress ...
ENSOR: Tenet inherited an agency grappling with changing threats
in a post Cold War world. And still coming to grips with the
fact that it had missed Saddam Hussein's push to build a nuclear
weapon in the months before the Gulf War.
After Saddam's defeat, United Nations inspectors investigated
and destroyed his nuclear program, along with most of his
chemical and biological weapons.
But when they departed in 1998, the U.S. lost its window into
Iraq.
Iraq was not the only intelligence black hole.
The CIA chief had warned urgently and often that a terror attack
was coming, but the intelligence community had no idea when or
where. In the days after what some labeled the greatest
intelligence failure since Pearl Harbor, there were calls for
George Tenet's resignation.
But during a morale-boosting visit to the CIA, President Bush
will make clear that as the United States launches its war on
terror, he wants George Tenet at his side.
MICHAEL SCHEUER, CIA ANALYST: The CIA is, at the end of the day,
the peculiar instrument of the executive branch and the
president.
ENSOR: Michael Scheuer was a long time CIA analyst who wrote a
book under the pseudonym "Anonymous," critical of CIA leadership
in the war on terror.
SCHEUER: But under Mr. Tenet it became very much focused on the
president. He was called the "First Customer" and clearly became
the be all and end all of our efforts.
JOHN MCLAUGHLIN, FORMER ACTING DIRECTOR OF THE CIA: There is
always a danger in the intelligence business of getting too
close to the policymaker.
ENSOR: John McLaughlin was Tenet's second in command. He is now
a CNN analyst.
MCLAUGHLIN: But if you aren't close enough to understand what
they're thinking and how they're operating and what their
requirements are, you're not going to serve them well.
ENSOR: The day after the towers fall, attention is focused on
launching an attack on al Qaeda and its Taliban protectors in
Afghanistan, but inside the White House sites are also set on
another target, Iraq.
In the spring of 2002, Vice President Cheney, who had been
secretary of defense when the U.S. discovered Saddam's WMD
programs in 1991, travels from the White House to CIA
headquarters in Virginia. He beings to press analysts on the
intelligence assembly line.
JAMES PAVITT, FORMER CIA DEPUTY DIRECTOR OF OPERATIONS:
Policymakers love intelligence when it supports their policy and
they have difficulty with intelligence when it does not.
ENSOR: James Pavitt was chief of the CIA's cover spying
operations.
PAVITT: The role of the intelligence officer is to produce the
intelligence and to objectively and honestly table it. If
pushed, now are you sure that's right? That's fine, there's
nothing wrong with that.
ENSOR: Robert Baer, a legendary CIA field officer served most of
his 21 year career in the Middle East. He left the agency in
1997.
ROBERT BAER, FORMER CIA OFFICER: I think Cheney, as far as I can
reconstruct this, everybody knows that Saddam's got weapons of
mass destruction. The French do, the British do, even the
Russians thought he did. Tell us what's your best stuff.
ENSOR: The overwhelming Washington consensus was that Saddam
would not have abandoned his drive for weapons of mass
destruction.
PAVITT: And there was a whole panoply of reasons to believe that
was the case. There are not many countries in the world that
have used weapons of mass destruction on their own people.
Iraqis did.
ENSOR: At the Pentagon, Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld
sets up a special office to provide him with alternative
intelligence analysis, focusing on a possible link between
Saddam and al Qaeda. The Pentagon unit is not mentioned by the
president's commission.
LARRY JOHNSON, FORMER STATE DEPARTMENT OFFICIAL: They even
briefed their findings to the community and the community would
come back and say, wait a second, you don't know what you're
talking about. That's garbage. That's misleading, that
misrepresents.
ENSOR: Larry Johnson was a counterterrorism official in the
State Department and the CIA before leaving government in 1993.
JOHNSON: And then they would take the same brief or an even more
extreme version and brief it directly to people like the vice
president.
ENSOR: The spies called it cherry-picking, choosing scraps of
intelligence to prove a worst-case scenario.
July 23rd, a senior British intelligence officials briefs Prime
Minister Tony Blair on his recent discussions in Washington.
According to notes on the Downing Street briefing, the MI6 chief
reported that President Bush wanted to remove Saddam through
military action. The intelligence and facts, he said, "were
being fixed around the policy."
The White House declined interview requests for this report.
President Bush addressed the memo at a recent news conference
with Blair.
BUSH: Somebody said, well, we had made up our mind to go -- to
use military force to deal with Saddam. There is nothing farther
from the truth. My conversation with the prime minister was how
could we do this peacefully.
ENSOR: But in the summer of 2002, the White House Iraq Group,
WHIG, had quietly begun a campaign to build support for war.
National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice, Karl Rove and Karen
Hughes and the chiefs of staff to both the president and the
vice president planned strategy in weekly meetings.
CHENEY: Simply stated, there is no doubt that Saddam Hussein now
has weapons of mass destruction.
ENSOR: Late August, vice president Cheney takes the lead in
public, escalating the rhetoric against Saddam.
CHENEY: The Iraq regime has, in fact, been very busy enhancing
its capabilities in the field of chemical and biological agents
and they continue to pursue the nuclear program they began so
many years ago.
GREG THIELMANN, FORMER STATE DEPARTMENT OFFICIAL: That speech it
seemed to me was basically a declaration of war speech.
ENSOR: Greg Thielmann was in charge of monitoring WMD at the
State Department's bureau of intelligence.
THEILMANN: That's when I, for the first time, became really
alarmed about where we were going on this.
CHENEY: But we now know that Saddam has resumed his efforts to
acquire nuclear weapons.
ENSOR: The CIA has no new proven evidence to support the vice
president's claims.
MCLAUGHLIN: We did not clear that particular speech. As
controversy developed in the course of debate over Iraq, we
began to clear speeches later, but at that point we were not
clearing speeches like that.
ENSOR: By September, the Pentagon has quietly positioned forces
in countries around the Persian Gulf. The United States will be
ready to move against Saddam in as little as 60 days.
SHEUER: There was just a resignation within the agency that we
were going to war against Iraq and it didn't make any difference
what the analysis was or what kind of objections or
countervailing forces there were to an invasion. We were going
to war.
ENSOR: Intelligence analysts worked in an environment, the
president's commission reports, that did not encourage
skepticism. It is the single, brief description of Washington in
2002 when the intelligence mistakes were made.
ENSOR: Early every morning, the president of the United States
received a super secret briefing from the CIA, the only agency
in the intelligence community that answered directly to him.
George Tenet's plainspoken style appealed to the new president,
so Bush insisted Tenet brief him face to face.
Some of the CIA's briefings on Iraq begin to rely on one
analyst, an engineer with limited nuclear weapons experience,
known only as Joe T. He believed he had found the smoking gun.
Saddam was buying high strength aluminum tubes that Joe T.
insists are meant for centrifuges to enrich uranium.
THIELMANN: Of all the pieces of evidence, this was potentially
the most damning, would be the kind of thing, through uranium
enrichment, get enough fissile material for a nuclear weapon.
ENSOR: The three feet by three inch tubes are the only piece of
physical evidence that might suggest a bomb building program.
THIELMANN: We were really agnostic at the beginning of it but we
listened to the experts and more and more evidence came in that
told us, no, this can't be true.
ENSOR: Nuclear experts at the Department of Energy argued the
tubes are the wrong size and material for use in centrifuges but
exactly right for rocket casings. They called Joe T.'s reasoning
improbably.
CARL FORD, FORMER STATE DEPARTMENT INTELLIGENCE OFFICIAL: Why
would you immediately jump to the conclusion that these were for
their nuclear program?
ENSOR: Carl Ford was assistant secretary of state in charge of
the department's bureau of intelligence.
FORD: Once an analyst starts believing their own work and quits
doubting themselves and starts saying, I'm going to prove to you
that they've got nuclear weapons, watch out. Be on your alert.
ENSOR: On Sunday, September 8th, the lead story in the "New York
Times" quotes anonymous officials who maintain the tubes are
intended for enriching uranium. "The first sign of a smoking
gun," the unnamed officials argue, "may be a mushroom cloud."
UNIDENTIFIED MALE: I would call it official leaking because I
think these were authorized conversations between the press and
members of the intelligence community that further misreported
the nature of the intelligence community's disagreement on this
issue.
ENSOR: Some top officials had been advised of the sharp
disagreement, but in coordinated appearances on the Sunday talk
shows, the administration reveals no doubts.
CONDOLEEZZA RICE, U.S. SECRETARY OF STATE: High quality aluminum
tubes that are only really suited for nuclear weapons programs,
centrifuge programs.
CHENEY: I do know with absolutely certainty that he is using his
procurement system to acquire the equipment he needs to enrich
uranium to build a nuclear weapon.
DONALD RUMSFELD, U.S. SECRETARY OF DEFENSE: Imagine a September
11 with weapons of mass destruction.
RICE: We don't want the smoking gun to be a mushroom cloud.
RAND BEERS, FORMER NSC OFFICIAL: As they embellished what the
intelligence community was prepared to say and as the press
reported that information, it began to acquire its own sense of
truth and reality.
ENSOR: Rand Beers will resign his White House post and later
work against the reelection of President Bush.
The nuclear menace from Iraq has been planted in the public's
mind. Rumsfeld's Pentagon unit pushes a second threat, a
connection between Iraq and al Qaeda.
SHEURER: Mr. Tenet, to his credit, had us go back through CIA
files and we went back for almost 10 years, reviewed nearly
20,000 documents, which came to 65,000 pages or more and could
find no connection in the terms of a state sponsored
relationship with Iraq. I believe Mr. Tenet took it downtown,
but it apparently didn't have any impact.
RICE: Clearly, there are contacts between al Qaeda and Iraq that
can be documented. There clearly is testimony that some of these
contacts have been important contacts and there's