Hurricane Rita: 1 million must get out
21/09/2005 00:00 - (SA)
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http://www.news24.com/News24/World/News/0,,2-10-1462_1804299,00.html
Galveston/Washington - President George W Bush on Wednesday
ordered a state of emergency in Texas and Louisiana as Hurricane
Rita was upgraded to a Catergory 5 storm, the White House said.
The measure will open up special federal funds for the southern
states.
Hospital and nursing home patients were evacuated and as many as
1 million other people were ordered to clear out along the Gulf
Coast on Wednesday as Hurricane Rita turned into a 241km/h
monster that could pound Texas and bring more misery to New
Orleans by week's end.
Forecasters said Rita could be the most intense hurricane on
record ever to hit Texas, and one of the most powerful ever to
slam into the US mainland.
All of Galveston, low-lying sections of Houston and Corpus
Christi, and a mostly emptied-out New Orleans were under
mandatory evacuation orders, one day after Rita sideswiped the
Florida Keys as a far weaker storm and caused minor damage.
Having seen what Hurricane Katrina did three weeks ago, many
people were taking no chances.
Rescue, medical teams on standby
"I really think it is going to be bad. That's really why I'm
running. All these years I've stayed here, but I've got to go
this time," said 65-year-old Barbara Anders. "I don't have but
one life and it is time for me to go."
The federal government rushed hundreds of truckloads of water,
ice and ready-made meals to the Gulf Coast and put rescue and
medical teams on standby.
By early afternoon, Rita, like Katrina, was a Category 4 storm,
and was centred more than 1 126km southeast of Corpus Christi.
Forecasters predicted it would come ashore on Saturday along the
central Texas coast between Galveston and Corpus Christi. But
even a slight rightward turn could prove devastating to New
Orleans.
The last major hurricane to hit Texas was Alicia in 1983. It
flooded downtown Houston, spawned 22 tornadoes and left 21
people dead. The damage from the Category 3 storm was put at
more than $2bn.
Most intense hurricane ever to strike Texas
"Let's hope that the hurricane does not hit at a Category 4
strength and let's hope the lessons we've learned - the painful,
tragic lessons that have been learnt in the last few weeks -
will best prepare us for what could happen with Rita," Louisiana
Senator Mary Landrieu said in New York.
Rita, based on its current internal pressure, would be the most
intense hurricane ever to strike Texas, stronger even than an
unnamed storm that hit Indianola in 1886. Accurate wind speed
measurements are not available that far back.
Only three Category 5 hurricanes are known to have hit the US
mainland - the 1935 Florida Keys hurricane, Camille in 1969 and
Andrew in 1992. Also, the mainland has never been hit by two
Category 4 storms in the same year, according to government
forecasters.
---------------------
Today's Discussion
Today's Discussion Posted: September 21, 2005 4:12 p.m.
RITA VERY CLOSE TO BECOMING A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE. Hurricane
Watches
will be posted by late this afternoon for the Texas coast.
As of 4:00 PM EDT Wednesday, Rita is packing sustained winds of
165 mph with gusts to 185 mph; this makes Rita a category 5
hurricane. This is the season's second catastrophic hurricane.
As of 2:00 PM EDT, Rita was centered near 24.3 north and 86.2
west, or 745 miles east-southeast of Corpus Christi, Texas. The
minimum central pressure has fallen to 920 millibars (27.17
inches of mercury). Rita was moving to the west at 14 mph.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles, and
tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles from
the center of circulation. Given that Rita is on the verge of
becoming a category 5 hurricane, the wind field will probably
expand further later today.
Rita will continue to track westward through the southeastern
Gulf of Mexico Wednesday afternoon and night with further
strengthening expected as it crosses the same warm waters that
helped Katrina strengthen into a Category 5 hurricane. So, it is
no surprise that this hurricane has become a catastrophic
hurricane.
Rita will generally track to the west as an upper-level high
pressure ridge over Texas expands eastward across the eastern
Gulf of Mexico. The track that Rita takes will depend on how
this high moves, weakens and strengthens. We currently expect
this upper ridge of high pressure to remain strong and steer
Rita on a general westerly course across the southeastern Gulf
of Mexico through Wednesday night into Thursday. Then we expect
the high to either split or move eastward causing Rita to move
west-northwest early Friday then more northwestward Friday night
and Saturday. We are estimating landfall between Galveston and
Corpus Christi sometime between 6 p.m. Friday and 6 a.m.
Saturday. Ocean water analysis shows some cooler water in place
about 300 miles off the Texas coast, then warmer water again
right near the Texas coast in our primary projected landfall
area, so the intensity forecast at landfall will be a real
challenge. After Rita makes landfall, it will head northwest
between Austin and Houston then track between Dallas and Tyler
Sunday. We expect hurricane force winds to spread over a large
area of eastern Texas after landfall. In fact, high-rise
buildings in the Houston area could experience wind gusts to
near 100 mph. This could cause some windows to shatter. In
addition to possible damaging hurricane-force winds, tornadoes
might be spawned by the cyclonic rotation from Rita mainly east
and northeast of the center of circulation.
As of 11 a.m. EDT Wednesday, Tropical Storm Philippe is drifting
slowly northward and has weakened some. It is centered near 0.2
north and 57.2 west, or about 370 miles east-northeast of the
Leeward Islands. Philippe was moving to the north at 6 mph with
maximum sustained winds of 50 mph. The estimated minimum central
pressure is 1000 millibars or 29.53 inches.
Philippe is expected to remain a tropical storm over the next 24
hours but could become a hurricane again within the the next few
days as it moves to the north-northwest. This will keep the
tropical storm well to the northeast of the Lesser Antilles. It
will move into the central Atlantic by midweek; those with
interests in Bermuda will have to monitor this system over the
next several days, but it appears most likely that the storm
will remain east of Bermuda.
Elsewhere in the Atlantic:
A tropical low near 49 west, south of 20 north was moving
westward at 10-15 knots. Showers and thunderstorms are
accompanying this wave, and development is not expected for at
least the next two days. A tropical wave was along 33 west,
south of 20 north, moving west at 10-15 knots. Nearby, African
dust is limiting convection with this system, so no development
is expected in the near future. A tropical wave is also in the
Caribbean near 87 west, south of 20 north; no development is
expected with this wave in the near future.

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