The Institute for Advanced Strategic and Political Studies ... -
Jul 25
The report, entitled "A Clean Break: A New Strategy for Securing
the Realm," is the framework for a series of follow-up reports
on strategy. ...
http://www.iasps.org/strat1.htm
Foreign Policy Serving Israel
Clean Break with the Road Map
By WILLIAM JAMES MARTIN
http://www.counterpunch.org/martin02142004.html
Is there some difference in understanding and perspecive between
President George W Bush and the members of his administration
who are the dominant influences over foreign policy? Is the
President, possibly because he is generally neither well read or
well informed, a relative weak influence in his own
administration and is dominated by such highly intelligent and
forceful members of the Pentagon such as, Wolfowitz, Perle,
Feith, and others and by the Vice President? There is some
evidence for this and some reason to believe it.
The following exchange took place at the Aqaba Summit on June 5
between Bush an Israeli defense minister Shaul Mofaz:
According to The Guardian, Palestinian Defense Minister, Dahlan
gave a five- minute synopsis of the Palestinian view of the
security situation and the difficulties he faces because the
Israelis have destroyed much of the Palestinian security
infrastructure. At the end of the briefing, General Mofaz,
jumped in. "Well", he said, "they won't be getting any help from
us; they have their own security service." Bush turned to
General Mofaz, "Their own security service? But you have
destroyed their security service," he reportedly said. General
Mofaz remained firm. "I do not think that we can help them, Mr
President," he said. Bush replied, "Oh, but I think that you
can, and I think that you will." A similar confrontation
followed with Sharon.
According to the The Guardian story, towards the end of the
summit, Bush told Condoleezza Rice, his national security
adviser, that he liked and trusted Abbas and Dahlan, but Sharon
was "a problem".
In July President George W Bush, on the podium with then
Palestinian Prime Minister Mahmoud Abbas, said: "It is very
difficult to develop confidence between the Palestinians and the
Israelis ... with a wall snaking through the West Bank."
On Friday, December 12, US President George W. Bush urged Israel
to avoid measures that could block a Palestinian state... "It's
in Israel's interest there be a Palestinian state," Bush said,
adding, "It's in the poor, suffering Palestinian people's
interest there be a Palestinian state."
A few days later, US deputy assistant secretary of state and
Bush administration envoy to the Middle East David Satterfield
said in Rome that Israel had "done too little for far too long"
to foster peace negotiations with the PNA.
The exchange between Bush and Israeli Defense Ministert Mofaz
was striking in its singularity for it was apparently the first
time on record that there had been a sharp disagreement between
Bush and the Sharon government in which Bush evidently
understood the burden of the Palestinian Authority's providing
for Israeli security with a police force and police
installations largely destroyed by the Israeli army.
The December 12th statement expressing an understanding of the
suffering of the Palestinians is an attitude rarely heard within
the Bush administration.
If it is difficult to imagine these expressions from Bush, it is
beyond imagination to picture them coming from civilian Pentagon
officials, Wolfowitz, Perle, Douglas Feith, or David Wurmser at
State, except possibly as a prelude to condemning Arafat.
Nor has Bush's irritaion with Israel's "security" wall been
translated into policy as the US subsequently vetoed the UN
Council Resolution declaring the construction of the Wall to be
in violation of international law.
Indeed, Perle, Wurmser, and Feith are on record as being
commited to policies which are radically at variance with long
standing American policy and are also radically at variance with
President Bush's Roadmap.
At focus in this context is the document, A Clean Break: a New
Starategy for Securing the Realm, written in 1996 for the
incoming Natanyahu government of Israel by Richard Perle,
Douglas Feith, David and Meyrav Wurmser, James Colbert, and
Robert Loewenberg in their capacity as members of The Institute
for advanced Strategy and Political Studies' "Study Group on a
New Israeli Strategy Toward 2000" a Washington/Jerusalem based
think tank providing policy analyses for the government of
Israel. This document is remarkable for its very existence
because it constitutes a policy manifesto for the Israeli
government pennned by members of the current US government.
Richard Perle was, until his recent resignation chairman of the
defence policy board, and now continues to sit on the board.
Douglas Feith is currently undersecretary of defence for policy,
the departments number three man and a protege' of Perle who has
worked closely with him in the past. David Wurmser is assistent
to undersecretary for arms control, John Bolton, at the State
Department, the latter coming from the far right conservative
American Interprise Institute
This document makes the following points:
1. "Israel has the opportunity to make a clean break; it can
forge a peace process and strategy based on an entirely new
intellectual foundation..."
2. The previous Israeli government's pursuit of a peace process
which was responsive to "supranational over national
sovereignty... undermined the legitimacy of the nation and lead
Israel to strategic paralysis." That peace process obscured the
evidence of an "eroding national critical mass -- including a
palpable sense of national exhaustion -- and forfeited strategic
initiative. The loss of national critical mass was illustrated
best by Israel's efforts to draw in the United States to sell
unpopular policies domestically, to agree to negotiate
sovereignty over its capital...."
3. Israel should "work closely with Turkey and Jordan to
contain, destabilize, and roll-back some of its most dangerous
threats. This implies clean break from the slogan "comprehensive
peace" to a traditional concept of strategy based on balance of
power."
4. Israel should "change the nature of its relations with the
Palestinians, including upholding the right of hot pursuit for
self defense into all Palestinian areas and [should nuture]
alternatives to Arafat' exclusive grip on Palestinian society"
[itallics mine].
5 "While previous governments, and many abroad, may emphasize
"land for peace" -- which placed Israel in the position of
cultural, economic, political, diplomatic, and miilitary retreat
-- the new government can promote Western values and traditions.
Such an approach ... includes "peace for peace", "peace through
strength" and self reliance : the balance of power."
6. "Displaying moral ambivalence between the effort to build a
Jewish state and the desire to annihilate it by trading "land
for peace" will not secure "peace now." Our claim to the land --
to which we have clung for hope for 2000 years -- is ligitimate
and noble..."[itallics mine]..
7. "Only the unconditional acceptance by Arabs of our rights,
especially in their territorial dimensions, "peace for peace,"
is a solid basis for the future."
The breathtaking import of this program should not be obscured.
The rejection of "land for peace", indeed the identification of
withdrawal from territory with "annihilation" of the state of
Israel, the pursuit of the "unconditional acceptance" of
Israel's rights (apparently including the right to expand its
borders) by the Arab states is a complete rejection and a
radical departure from 36 years of American Middle East Policy
which embraces UN Resolution 242 and all subsequent Security
Council Resolution on the Middle East. It is also at radical
variance with the Roadmap which embodies the two state solution
and calls for the establishment of a "viable and contiguous
Palestinian state."
Under the subheading, Securing the Northern Border:
8. "Syria challenges Israel on Lebanese soil."
9. Israel should engage Hezbollah, Syria, and Iran, as the
principle agents of aggression in Lebanon by:
10. striking Syrian military targets in Lebanon, and should that
prove insufficient, striking at select targets in Syria proper.
11. "Given the nature of the regime in Damascus, it is natural
and moral that Israel abandon the slogan "comprehensive peace"
and move to contain Syria,... rejecting "land for peace" deals
on the Golan Heights."
Under the subheading, Moving to a Traditional Balance of Power
Strategy:
12. "Israel can shape its strategic environment, in cooperation
with Turkey and Jordan by weakening, containing, and even
rolling back Syria."[itallics mine]
13. "This effort can focus on removing Saddam Hussein from power
in Iraq -- an important strategic objective in its own right --
as a means of foiling Syria's regional ambitions."
14. "Damascus fears that a "natural axis" with Israel on one
side, central Iraq and Turkey on the other,and Jordan, in the
center would squeeze and detach Syria from the Saudi Peninsula.
For Syria, it would be a prelude to redrawing the map of the
Middle East....
15. Iraq's future could affect the strategic balance in the
Middle East profoundly.
It is amazing how much of this program, though written for the
Israeli government of Natanyahu of 1996, has already been
implemented, not by the government of Israel, but by the Bush
administration. The overthrow of Saddam Hussein in Iraq, the two
year old house arrest of Arafat and the attempt to cultivate a
new Palestinian leadership, the complete rejection by Sharon of
the land for peace agreement on the Golan Heights, with little
US demurral, and the bombing inside of "Syria proper" with only
the response from Bush, "Israel has a right to defend itself".
In the complete rejection, de facto if not de jure, of the
Roadmap, Sharon is well aware that he is strongly supported by
those inside of the Bush administration to such an extent that
Bush can well be ignored.
After interviewing CIA officials including George Tenant, U.S.
diplomats, and Syrian President, Bashar Assad, investigative
journalist, Seymour Hirsh, writing in the New Yorker under the
title, The Syrian Bet, has described how American official
burned Syrian source of intelligence on Al Qaeda largely because
of Syrian support for Hesbollah in southern Lebanon and also
because the government has allowed Hamas and the Palestinian
Islamic Jihad to maintain offices in Damascus.
Because the secular Syrian government had been at war for more
than two decades with the Syrian Muslim Brotherhood based in
Alleppo, with close ties to Al Qaeda, Syria had complied
hundreds of files on Al Qaeda, including dossiers on the men who
participated in the September 2001 attack on the World Trade
Center and the Pentagon. Syrian had also penetrated Al Qaeda
cells throughout the Middle East and in Arab exile communities
throughout Europe. Many of the airline hijackers of the
September 2001 attack had operated out of cells in Hamburg and
Aachen. Some of these members worked for a German firm called
Tatex which was infiltrated by Syrian intelligence during the
eighties.
Hirsh states that just after the September 2001 attacks, the
Syrian government began allowing the CIA and FBI to operate in
Alleppo, and on one occasion provided the U S with advanced
knowledge of an Al Qaeda plot to fly a glider loaded with
explosives into a building at the U S Navy's 5th Fleet
headquarters in Bahrain. Syria also provided the US with
advanced knowledge of a plot against an American target in
Ottawa.
American intelligence and State Department told Hirsh that by
2002 Syria had become one of the most effective sources of
intelligence and one of the most important allies in the fight
against Al Qaeda. After the September 11 attacks, Syria provided
a flood of information to American operatives which only ended
with the onset of the Iraq war.
With the invasion of Iraq, came the constant threats from
Rumsfeld, Condeleez Rice and members of the Pentagon along with
the accusation that Syria is harboring some of the Iraqi
Baathist leadership as well as having stashed Iraq's weapons of
mass destruction. It is a poorly kept secret that the
neo-conservatives members of the Pentagon want to see the fall
of the Syrian government and that it is their next target after
Iraq
In June 2003, the American army attacked several vehicles inside
the Syrian border, killing about 80 people and detained several
members of Syrian security personnel who spent several days in
interrogation. Evidently, Rumdsfeld believed that this small
caravan of cars was carrying Saddam Hussein or other high
ranking Iraqi officials to sanctuary in Syria. It turned out to
be little more than people smuggling gasoline.
In early October, after a suicide bombing in Israel, two Israeli
Airforce F16 fighter jets attacked a position 10 miles from
Damascus which Israel said was a terrorist training camp and
which Islamic Jihad said had not been used for two years. In
either case, the point was made. In Washington, a senior
administration official said, "We have repeatedly told the
government of Syria that it is on the wrong side in the war on
terror and that it must stop harboring terrorists."
Givern the constants threats to the Syrian government of Bashar
Assad, son of the late President Hafez Assad, including attacks
by both the United States and by Israel inside of Syrian
territory it is little wonder that intelligence on Al Qaeda
provided by Syrian intelligence has ceased.
One sees, in the case of the Syrian relation, a conspicuous
instance of Israeli interest eclipsing American interest. Al
Qaeda, not Islamic Jihad or Hames is a threat to the United
States. Islamic Jihad and Hamas threaten Israel, not the United
States.
In February of 2002, the Saudi Crown Prince Abdullah advanced
what became known as the Saudi initiative in which Arab states
would offer normal diplomatic relations including peace
agreements which would recognize Israel's right to exists within
secure borders in return for Israel withdrawal to its 1967
borders including withdrawal from East Jerusalem. When, in
April, the Crown Prince was the guest of the President at his
ranch near Crawford, Tx., he found that the Bush was barely
aware of the plan and had not been briefed on it. Bush has said
on one occasion that he does not independently keep up with the
news but rather relies on his staff for briefings.
In fact, there is little motivation within the administration
for briefing Mr Bush on a proposal centered around the "land for
peace" formula which has been forthrightly rejected by the major
foreign policy players of this administration.
The major players of foreign policy, Perle, Wolfowitz, Cheney,
Feith, Wurmser, are not the only sources of action within the
administration; there is Powell, there is the President himself.
But the authors of A Clean Break have had dramatic success in
shaping foreign policy to their conceptuallization.
The following conclusions can be drawn with considerable
confidence:
1. The Middle East policies driving the American government's
Middle East policy are delineated in the document, A Clean
Break, and are are only partially congruent with the attitudes
of the President. Much of the program of this document has
already become reality and has eclipsed President Bush's Roadmap
which embodied a two state solution.
2. The authors of A Clean Break, those driving American policy,
derive their concepts based on Israeli security and Israeli
interest so that American foreign policy under the Bush
administration is primarily serving the interest of Israel and
secondarily that of the United States.
3. The invasion of Iraq for the purpose of overthrowing Saddam
Hussein was undertaken for the interest of Israel though paid
for with American capital and with American and Iraqi
made by David Kay, chief US weapons inspector in Iraq that
Iraq almost certainly possessed no weapons of mass destruction
on the eve of the Ameri