Saudis, Oil, Israel, & America

The Shalom Center
Saudis, Oil, Israel, & America
Fri Apr 29, 2005 13:10
64.140.158.248

Saudis, Oil, Israel, & America

The Shalom Center

04/28/05 "ICH" - - Some important connections have been sketched out
recently - hidden but in plain view. Consider what Prime Minister
Sharon's National Security Advisor (and former Mossad chief), Efraim
Halevy has to say:

"In a visit to the United States two weeks ago, I was told by several
well-informed observers that should one of the more severe scenarios
come to pass, the United States will have no choice but to deepen its
presence in the Middle East. To that end, it will have to renew the
draft, to ensure that there are enough forces to deal with developing
situations in countries like Saudi Arabia."

The 'scenario' being talked about is the entirely possible overthrow
of the Saudi monarchy. Israeli and American national security
professionals are conversing about the likely consequences of present
US policy: the need to use military force to secure 'our' supply of
cheap oil.

Of course now the US-Saudi relationship is friendly as can be, with
images of President Bush and the Saudi Crown Prince holding hands
appearing everywhere.

But behind the smiling faces, why would the US care enough about an
upheaval in Saudi Arabia to imagine a military draft to support
intervention there?

Because Saudi oil production is crucial in the present version of US
energy use. Alternative sources of oil could not replace the Saudi
share, were they to halt production. While the current Saudi regime
would never do such a thing, any increase in the supply of democracy
might lead to a regime with vastly different loyalties.

Oil supply flat or lower; oil demand higher; oil prices jump. Can the
US in its present shape cope with huge price increases -- not only in
oil and gasoline themselves, but rippling through all sectors of the
economy?

According to Halevy, the Saudis are demanding - and will continue to
demand - US action on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

"In the eyes of the Saudi prince, the rise in the level of tension,
violence and enmity in our conflict had the effect of significantly
strengthening the extremists in his country and throughout the Arab
world..."

To preserve their regime, they need Israeli-Palestinian quiet, which
can only be achieved with US pressure. Halevy thinks it entirely
possible that someday the US will accept Arab proposals that Israel
rejects. [The Coming Pax Americana, Haaretz, April 24, 2005. Read the
full article here.
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/pages/ShArt.jhtml?itemNo=568076  ]

So the addiction of the US to oil brings the dangers of one or more
of three unsatisfactory results:

Deep economic trouble and social unrest in the US;

AND/OR larger-scale military intervention in the Middle East,
bringing problems at home, more rage against the US in other parts of
the Muslim world, and probably more anti-US terrorism;

AND/OR changes in US policy toward Israel and Palestine driven not by
concern for the freedom, safety, and self-determination of both
peoples but by deference to the Saudi throne.

The alarm bells are ringing. This is the first phase of an energy
crisis expected to last for decades.

While changing US energy use to sustainable fuels like wind power
will not be easy, it implies far less disruption and violence.

Copyright: The Shalom Center

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http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article8695.htm

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